V. Sablin and S. Glukhova (Russia)
Model method, physician knowledge modeling, myocardial infarction.
The overall purpose of this study is to develop a method for modeling physician knowledge. The obtained complication models of myocardial infarction according to its clinical expression were combinations the symptoms of four main symptom complexes. The clinical interpretation of prediction complication models of the myocardial infarction did not represent of particular difficulties for the physicians, as the models could be described by using common medical terms, that made their understanding easy. The prediction results served as a base for mathematical assessment of process gravity of myocardial infarction by computation of prediction gravity index (PGI) of the patient. By changing the value bounds of PGI, it is possible to form patient groups, which differ by the degree of risk of lethality prediction gravity categories (PGC). In our forecasting model PGC is one of the final purposes of prediction, allowing the physician to select the tactics of treatment and physical patient rehabilitation with Q myocardial infarction.
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